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Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals NFL match analysis, predictions and odds

The Cincinnati Bengals visit the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday to take on the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game. The third-seeded Cincinnati Bengals crushed the Buffalo Bills 10-27 in the divisional playoffs to reach the AFC title game, while the top-seeded Kansas City Chiefs took a 27-20 victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars. The two teams will now square off for a ticket to the Super Bowl in a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game.

Form Kansas City Chiefs

There were no surprises at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium during the divisional playoffs. With the home crowd behind them, the Kansas City Chiefs powered their way past the Jacksonville Jaguars 27-20. The win improved their home record to 8-1 going into the AFC Championship Game.

The Kansas City Chiefs rank first in the NFL’s offensive rankings, averaging 29.1 points this season and 25.3 points at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. The defense, on the other hand, has really stepped up against opposing offenses of late. In the past five outings, the hosts have only given up 18.2 points on average. This is better than how they’ve fared over the season, having allowed 21.6 points per game in comparison.

The Kansas City Chiefs are back again for another attempt at reaching the Super Bowl. Despite losing the AFC Championship Game last season, they’re recovered to make this round again. With home-field advantage, they desperately hope to go one better this time around.

Form Cincinnati Bengals

The Cincinnati Bengals upset the odds last week to beat the Buffalo Bills, winning 27-10 to improve their record over their last 10 games to 10-0. They are also 5-0 in their last five on the road.

The Cincinnati Bengals rank up in eighth-place in the NFL’s offensive rankings, with 26.1 points per game this season and 24.4 points on the road. On the defensive side of the ball, the visitors have the fifth-best unit in football, allowing just 19.4 points on average and 20.6 points on the road.

After retaining their AFC North crown, the Cincinnati Bengals entered the playoffs as the AFC’s third seed. They’ve won their first two postseason games, leaving them on the brink of reaching the Super Bowl again. They hope to get one more win over the line here to book a ticket to football’s biggest game.

H2H

The Cincinnati Bengals downed the Kansas City Chiefs 27-24 in the previous matchup between these two franchises. The encounter took place at the Paycor Stadium in December 2022. This might well be one road trip the Cincinnati Bengals are looking forward to. The past ten rounds of this series make good reading for the visitors. Victory has gone their way six times, while the Kansas City Chiefs came out on top four times.

In their last ten head-to-head games, the Kansas City Chiefs managed 27 points on average per game, while the Cincinnati Bengals put 24.7 points on board.

Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs odds

Odds for Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs is Provided by Bet365. For a full list of odds for the match visit Bet365.com

  • Moneyline (ML): Cincinnati Bengals (+100) | Kansas City Chiefs (-120)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Cincinnati Bengals +1.5 (-115) | Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (-110) | (-110)

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Moneyline

Go for the Kansas City Chiefs to win (1.83) as your winning pick for the Moneyline.

The Kansas City Chiefs are an extremely difficult team to beat at home; they have won six straight games and stand 8-1 at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium and 15-3 for the season. The Cincinnati Bengals have won their last three matchups against the Kansas City Chiefs and have about a 50% of winning again – based on their +100 odds on the moneyline.

Backing the Kansas City Chiefs (-120) to win outright on the moneyline looks too good to pass up. The hosts were strong at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium last season with a 9-3 record, and have won their last five home games.

Against the Spread

Place your bets on the Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (1.95) for this game.

The Kansas City Chiefs open up as the slight 1.5-point favorites over the Cincinnati Bengals, according to the oddsmakers. This suggests we could be in for a tight football game between two evenly-matched sides. The last five contests between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Cincinnati Bengals have posted an average winning margin of up to 13.0 points.

The Kansas City Chiefs went 5-7 ATS in their most recent games against AFC North teams. The offense put up 22.5 points per game in that span, while the defense allowed an average of 20.4 points. In their previous ten games, the Kansas City Chiefs went 4-6 ATS overall and 4-6 ATS in the last ten games at home.

The Cincinnati Bengals, on the other hand, have covered the spread in their last five road matches. The visitors are 8-2 ATS from their ten most recent road trips, as well as 8-2 ATS in their last ten games overall.

Over/Under

Total over 47.5 (1.91) is your best bet for this game.

The Kansas City Chiefs and the Cincinnati Bengals have a history of impressive offensive performances against each other. In fact, they’ve averaged 51.7 points per game in their last ten matchups together.

The average total from the last five meetings between the Kansas City Chiefs and Cincinnati Bengals was 55.4 points, 7.9 points higher than 47.5—the number set by the oddsmakers for Sunday’s contest at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.

The total has averaged 48.0 points in the Kansas City Chiefs’ ten most recent games, as well as 42.4 points in their last five at home. Games at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium don’t always seem to produce the expected number of points, as the total has gone under in four of the past five home matches for the home side.

As for the Cincinnati Bengals, the average total has been 46.8 points in the away team’s past ten matches and 47.4 points in the last five on the road. In their last 10 playoff games, the total went under nine times.

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