New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions NFL match analysis, predictions and odds
The New Orleans Saints (5-6) and the Detroit Lions (8-3) lock horns on Sunday for a Week 13 matchup at the Caesars Superdome. Exactly three wins lie between the teams. The Detroit Lions boast the better record out of the two, winning eight out of a possible 11 to go top of the NFC North. The New Orleans Saints follow up in second place in the NFC South, with five wins to their account. The players of the New Orleans Saints need to have a strong drive to earn a win before they enter a slump. After experiencing two consecutive defeats, they will be hoping to turn things around against the Detroit Lions.
Form New Orleans Saints
The New Orleans Saints fell to back-to-back defeats last week when the Atlanta Falcons beat them 24-15. The hosts are now 4-6 in their past 10 games overall and 2-3 in the last five at home.
The New Orleans Saints’ offense is the definition of a middle-of-the-pack NFL offensive line, posting a season average of 20.8 points per game. Defensively, the hosts have allowed 20.2 points on average and 22.3 points on their own ground.
Last season, the New Orleans Saints came home in third place in the NFC South standings after going 7-10 across all games. The hosts naturally hope to go even better this season. However, like every other team in the NFL, sealing a spot in the playoff during this regular season is the first and foremost priority for now.
Form Detroit Lions
The Detroit Lions head to the Caesars Superdome on the back of a 22-29 defeat to the Green Bay Packers last week, leaving them 7-3 in their past ten games and 4-1 in the last five on the road.
The away offense has been stellar on the road, averaging 24.4 points away from home and 26.7 points in all 11 of their games this season. As for the defense, the visitors have given up 29.0 points across the previous five outings. Considering the defensive unit has only allowed 23.5 points for the season itself, it’s fair to say the defensive unit has not performed to its usual standards of late.
The previous campaign was one to forget for the Detroit Lions. The visitors failed to reach the playoffs, having finished second in the NFC North at 9-8. They are on course to make the NFL postseason this year though, having gone 8-3 so far in the current campaign.
H2H
The New Orleans Saints won 35-29 against the Detroit Lions in their most recent encounter at the Ford Field on October 2020. In the past five matchups, the New Orleans Saints claimed two wins against the Detroit Lions to go 2-3 in this series.
In their last ten head-to-head games, the New Orleans Saints managed 32.5 points on average per game, while the Detroit Lions put 24.6 points on board.
Standings
Detroit Lions at New Orleans Saints odds
Odds for Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints is Provided by Bet365. For a full list of odds for the match visit Bet365.com
- Moneyline (ML): Detroit Lions (-200) | New Orleans Saints (+170)
- Against the spread (ATS): Detroit Lions -4.0 (-110) | New Orleans Saints +4.0 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 47.0 (-110) | (-110)
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Moneyline
Take the Detroit Lions to win (1.50) as they look like a sure thing here.
As Sunday’s game approaches, the New Orleans Saints are viewed as the underdogs with odds at +170. Their recent struggles are evident, having suffered two consecutive losses. Instead, the Detroit Lions are favored on the moneyline. A road win is priced at -200, which implies the visitors have a 67% chance of taking the victory and improving their 8-3 record.
It’s fair to say the Detroit Lions losing back-to-back to the Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears took a lot of us by surprise, as they should’ve done better. However, given how strongly they’re backed on the moneyline, the New Orleans Saints could be the perfect opponent for the Detroit Lions to get back on track with a road win
Against the Spread
Betting on the Detroit Lions -4.0 (1.91) is our favorite play for this matchup.
The Detroit Lions open up as the 4-point favorites over the New Orleans Saints, according to the oddsmakers. This implies a tight battle is likely, with a road win possible but not by much. Considering the average winning margin in the past five contests of this series was 8.8 points, a one-score game does seem the smart play here.
The New Orleans Saints are going through a rough patch in spread betting, failing to cover for three straight games. This has caused their ATS record to dip to 2-8-1. The hosts are 1-5 ATS in the past six games at home and 2-7-1 ATS overall from their previous ten games.
The Detroit Lions have gone 4-1 ATS on the road. Their overall record for the season is 7-4 ATS. Backing the Detroit Lions to cover the spread away from home has been a sound choice recently. In fact, in their last five road games, they have gone an impressive 4-1 ATS.
Over/Under
Total over 47.0 (1.91) is the right play for this match.
Both teams’ offenses normally thrive when the New Orleans Saints play the Detroit Lions. The two sides have averaged a very impressive 57.1 points in their last ten meetings.
The total line for the New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions game is 47.0, 13.8 points lower than the average 60.8-point total for their last five matchups. A bet on the Over in the total market offers an odds of -110.
At the Caesars Superdome, the New Orleans Saints have gone 1-3 O/U against the total. Their record for the season is 3-8 O/U. The New Orleans Saints saw an average of 38.4 points in their previous five home games. The score went under in the total line in four of these contests.
The last three Detroit Lions games went over. Their record for the season is now 7-4 O/U. The Detroit Lions had seven of their previous 10 games going above the predicted total line, averaging 51.1 points.